Name: Sectoral Allocation, Risk Efficiency and the Great Moderation (en Inglés)
Price: 97.95 PEN
Availability: InStock
Author: Federal Reserve Board
ISBN: 9781503283473

portada Sectoral Allocation, Risk Efficiency and the Great Moderation (en Inglés)

Formato

Libro Físico

Editorial

Createspace Independent Publishing Platform

Autor

Federal Reserve Board

Idioma

Inglés

N° páginas

Encuadernación

Tapa Blanda

Dimensiones

28.0 x 21.6 x 0.2 cm

Peso

0.12 kg.

ISBN13

9781503283473

Categorías

Economía

Sectoral Allocation, Risk Efficiency and the Great Moderation (en Inglés)

Federal Reserve Board (Autor) · Createspace Independent Publishing Platform · Tapa Blanda

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Reseña del libro "Sectoral Allocation, Risk Efficiency and the Great Moderation (en Inglés)"

This paper argues that the decline in U.S. real GDP growth volatility after the mid 1980s was an outcome of more risk efficient and more diversified sectoral allocations. Using a portfolio approach, I distinguish between the two determinants of GDP growth volatility: sectoral covariances and sectoral allocations. I use the sectoral growth and covariances to com- pute the growth-volatility frontier of the economy. I define the efficiency of the actual sectoral allocation as the distance of the economy from the frontier, measured in the (volatility, growth) space. There are three main findings. 1) The frontier has shifted due to a lower sectoral growth rate and a higher sectoral variance. 2) The distance of the economy from the frontier has decreased. The efficiency over the period increased by 1.4 percentage points. This increase occurred along the volatility dimension and it is interpreted as the decline in the growth volatility in the econ- omy, if there were no changes in the sectoral covariances. This efficiency improvement is comparable to the 1.5 percentage points decline in GDP growth volatility in the data after the mid 1980s. 3) The U.S. economy became more diversified across sectors after the early 1980s, shifting away from manufacturing and agriculture towards services. The increase in the share of Finance and Insurance coupled with the doubling of the growth volatility in this sector, might have contributed to the recent increase in GDP growth volatility.