Name: Natural Disasters, When Will They Reach me? (Springer Natural Hazards) (en Inglés)
Price: 506.54 PEN
Availability: InStock
Author: Isuri Wijesundera; Malka N. Halgamuge; Thrishantha Nanayakkara
ISBN: 9789811011115

portada Natural Disasters, When Will They Reach me? (Springer Natural Hazards) (en Inglés)

Formato

Libro Físico

Editorial

Springer

Autor

Isuri Wijesundera; Malka N. Halgamuge; Thrishantha Nanayakkara

Año

2016

Idioma

Inglés

N° páginas

148

Encuadernación

Tapa Dura

ISBN13

9789811011115

N° edición

Categorías

Modelos y simulaciones por ordenador

Natural Disasters, When Will They Reach me? (Springer Natural Hazards) (en Inglés)

Isuri Wijesundera; Malka N. Halgamuge; Thrishantha Nanayakkara (Autor) · Springer · Tapa Dura

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Reseña del libro "Natural Disasters, When Will They Reach me? (Springer Natural Hazards) (en Inglés)"

The expected time of impact, also known as the mean first passage time (MFPT) to reach failure, is a critical metric in the management of natural disasters. The complexity of the dynamics governing natural disasters lead to stochastic behaviour. This book shows that state transitions of many such systems translate into random walks on their respective state spaces, biased and shaped by environmental inhomogeneity. Thus the probabilistic treatment of those random walks gives valuable insights of expected behaviour. A comprehensive case study of predicting cyclone induced flood is followed by a discussion of generic methods that predict MFPT addressing directional bias. This is followed by discussing MFPT prediction methods in systems showing network inhomogeneity. All presented methods are illustrated using real datasets of natural disasters. The book ends with a short discussion of possible future research areas introducing the problem of predicting MFPT for bush-fire propagation.